CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
C09.SI
City Developments - Some light from property development
- 1H16 results were impacted by hotel operations and lower share of profits from JV projects.
- Growth in property development was offset by hotel division.
- Potential S$605m from property sales to be recognised in 2H16.
Attractive valuations.
- Despite the recent rally in City Developments (CDL)’s share price, we continue to see good value at 0.8x FY17F P/NAV, at 1 standard deviation below historical average.
- Key catalysts
- potential injection of assets into Profit Participation Securities (PPS),
- better margins from property development and hotel operations, and
- higher property sales.
1H16 results impacted by hotel operations and lower share of JV profits.
- 1H16 net profit fell 6.8% y-o-y to S$239m, forming 39% of street’s FY16 estimates.
- Despite 1H16’s revenue growth of 11% y-o-y (from property development offset by lower investment properties), net profit fell mainly due to lower contributions from share of profits from JV projects.
- EBIT margins were dragged by lower hotel margins. CDL is expected to recognise an estimated S$605m of property sales from projects in Singapore, China and Australia.
Some light from overseas investments.
- CDL’s decision to diversify into the overseas property market amid a challenging outlook in the Singapore property market is finally coming to fruition. CDL expects to recognise approximately S$605m of property sales in 2H16 as property projects are completed.
- Most of the ongoing overseas projects (China, UK, Australia, Japan, Korea, US) are expected to complete from 2H16 onwards. We believe this could partly offset the impact of a weak property market in Singapore.
Valuation
- We maintain our BUY call and raise TP to S$9.90 (from S$9.60), pegged to 20% discount to our revised RNAV of S$11.90.
- Supported by a strong balance sheet and diversified earnings base, CDL should be able to navigate around the current uncertain market conditions well.
Key Risks to Our View
- Decline in residential prices in Singapore. As a proxy to Singapore’s residential market, a deteriorating operating environment will cap share price performance.
Rachel TAN
DBS Vickers
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Derek TAN
DBS Vickers
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http://www.dbsvickers.com/
2016-08-12
DBS Vickers
SGX Stock
Analyst Report
9.90
Up
9.600