ISDN Holdings - CGS-CIMB Research 2020-09-21: NDR Takeaways


ISDN Holdings - NDR Takeaways

  • We held a non-deal roadshow (NDR) with ISDN (SGX:I07) on 18 Sep 2020.
  • Questions centred on its core Industrial Automation (IA), disinfectant, and the renewable energy businesses.
  • Reiterate ADD with Target Price of S$0.501. We believe ISDN is on track for y-o-y net profit growth in FY20F.

Industrial automation solutions will remain its core business

  • Management commented that ISDN (SGX:I07) will remain focused on its core IA business. This business segment has now evolved to become a complete solution provider capable of meeting customers’ hardware and software requirements. The group is also capable of offering complete Industrial 4.0 solutions to manufacturers.
  • Management noted opportunities in China for semiconductor-related production as the country accelerates efforts to build up its own semiconductor supply chain, and also in Vietnam as companies relocate production there given the US tariffs on China-made products.
  • ISDN reported a 1H20 net profit margin of 7.7% and management hopes that in the coming years, this can improve to 10.0% as the group offers better solutions and increase the software content (higher margin) offered in such solutions.

Disinfectant business has potential

  • ISDN has a 51% stake in a joint venture with a German company, ERST GmbH (Unlisted) which specialises in disinfectant products.
  • ISDN recently completed a 3-day trial with public bus transportation company SMRT (Unlisted) to deploy ERSTOTIZER, a functional surface coating that acts as a durable protective shield against resistant germs and the coronavirus on 130 public buses in Singapore.
  • ERSTOTIZER is a water-based, inodorous, colourless, and scratch-resistant disinfectant which makes it environmentally friendly and safe for use in public spaces. In an effort to increase the awareness of this product, the joint venture has also made it available for purchase online by consumers.

Renewable energy will face delays

  • Management previously cited the risk of delays in the commissioning of its mini-hydro power plants due to COVID-19 in Indonesia. On 14 Sep 2020, Indonesia announced a second partial lock-down to combat rising COVID-19 cases. This will delay the commencement of ISDN’s mini-hydro power plants in Indonesia to 1Q21-1H21F, in our view.

Reiterate ADD on ISDN

  • Reiterate our ADD rating and target price of S$0.501. Our valuation basis remains at CY21F P/E of 10x (c.58% discount to its global peers).
  • See ISDN Share Price; ISDN Target Price; ISDN Analyst Reports; ISDN Dividend History; ISDN Announcements; ISDN Latest News.
  • Potential re-rating catalysts for the stock could come from stronger-than-expected sales orders for its mainstay IA, and profit contribution from its hydropower segment.
  • Downside risks are order delays, cost overruns in its hydropower business, and a prolonged COVID-19 outbreak.

William TNG CFA CGS-CIMB Research | 2020-09-21
SGX Stock Analyst Report ADD MAINTAIN ADD 0.501 SAME 0.501