CapitaLand - CGS-CIMB Research 2019-01-14: Into A New Phase Of Growth


CapitaLand - Into A New Phase Of Growth

  • CapitaLand plans to acquire Ascendas and Singbridge in a bid to become Asia’s largest real estate platform.
  • The acquisitions will be immediately EPS and ROE accretive, in our view.
  • Maintain ADD with unchanged Target Price of S$3.55, pending completion of the deal.

Creating Asia’s largest diversified real estate group

ASB provides a high quality real estate platform

  • Ascendas-Singbridge (ASB) is an established investment management platform with S$23.6bn of AUM and is a leading business space and urbanisation solutions provider, with exposure to logistics/business parks that is leveraged to the new economy sectors. An estimated 66% of AUM are derived from its REITs and the remaining from private funds

Acquisition complements and strengthens CAPL’s platform

  • The transaction is positive for CapitaLand from a strategic point of view. The equity value is arrived at based on S$10,907.1m enterprise value, which takes into account investment and development assets at book value, listed REITs at market value and ascribing a 15- 16x P/E multiple for ASB’s fund management platform, and deducting net debt and minority interest of S$4,871.2m.
  • In addition to complementing its strength in existing core markets, it will enable the group to scale up and expand its product offerings across new asset classes and new markets, such as Korea and India. Income growth would be accelerated and fund management competitiveness enhanced with an enlarged AUM base of S$116.5bn, while fee revenue could improve by c.40% to S$337m.
  • There is also a visible development pipeline with a book value of S$11.5bn.

Immediate boost to income and ROE

  • CapitaLand also expects to maintain its dividend policy post acquisition.

Maintain ADD

  • We leave our forecasts unchanged and maintain our RNAV of S$5.47 for now pending more information on Ascendas-Singbridge’s portfolio.
  • We believe CapitaLand’s share price would be supported in the near term by this transformative and accretive exercise.
  • With an expanded asset we anticipate CapitaLand to be better positioned to grow going forward.

See CapitaLand's presentation slide (PDF, 7.8mb) here and media and analyst briefing webcast here

LOCK Mun Yee CGS-CIMB Research | https://research.itradecimb.com/ 2019-01-14
SGX Stock Analyst Report ADD MAINTAIN ADD 3.550 SAME 3.550