INNOVALUES LIMITED
591.SI
Innovalues (IP SP) - Northstar Proposes Acquisition Of Innovalues
- Since our initiation in Feb 16 at S$0.805, the stock has returned 22.4%.
- Precision Solutions, an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Northstar Equity Partners IV, proposed a share scheme for all shareholders of Innovalues.
- The offer values the company at S$331.4m, based on an offer price of S$1.01/share.
- We recommend shareholders ACCEPT THE OFFER as we expect global growth headwinds going into 2017 and valuations are in line with our target price of S$1.01.
WHAT’S NEW
Northstar proposed acquisition of all ordinary shares in the capital of Innovalues.
- Northstar is a Singapore based private equity firm managing more than US$2b in committed capital dedicated to Southeast Asia. Northstar’s portfolio investments come from a variety of sectors which include banking, insurance, retail, oil and gas, coal and mining services, technology and telecommunications. Through its wholly-owned subsidiary Precision Solutions Limited, they have proposed to acquire Innovalues’ shares at:
- S$1.01 per share in cash, or
- one share of Precision Solutions Group and S$0.61 in cash per Innovalues share, subject to a limit of 65m Innovalues shares that may be elected for option.
- The shares in Precision Solutions Group will not be in a active market.
Accept the offer.
- Precision Solutions’ rationale for the acquisition of Innovalues represents an opportunity for the company to acquire control of a company in the precision manufacturing space with a regional manufacturing footprint.
- The offer price of S$1.01 represents a premium of 30.5% to the 12-month VWAP (from 6 Apr 15 to 6 Apr 16) of Innovalues’ shares.
- The offer is at a 4.7% discount to our DCF-based target price of S$1.06 which we deem as fair given the challenging economic outlook for 2017 and global uncertainty stemming from a Brexit, US election, and a fresh layer of ASEAN uncertainty from a divided foreign policy between the Philippines and the rest of the ASEAN countries.
Some approvals still necessary.
- Northstar has received irrevocable undertakings from Mr Goh Leng Tse, Mr Pung Tong Seng, Mr Ong Tiak Beng and Mr Koh Boon Hwee who collectively own about 39% of the total shares in Innovalues to vote in favour of the scheme. The scheme will require 75% of all of Innovalues shareholders to vote in favour of the offer.
STOCK IMPACT
Innovalues 3Q16 results.
- Core net profit rose 55.8% yoy on continued gross margin expansion as the group’s automotive (AU) segment contribution continued to grow.
- The AU segment contributed about 77.7% and 79.7% of total revenue for 3Q16 and 9M16 vs 77.3% and 78.0% for 3Q15 and 9M16 respectively.
EARNINGS REVISION/RISK
- No change to our earnings estimates. We project a 3-year EPS CAGR of 11.5%.
VALUATION/RECOMMENDATION
- We recommend shareholders ACCEPT THE OFFER.
SHARE PRICE CATALYST
- Improved offers from other parties interested in acquiring Innovalues.
Nicholas Leow
UOB Kay Hian
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Andrew Chow CFA
UOB Kay Hian
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http://research.uobkayhian.com/
2016-10-27
UOB Kay Hian
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