Ascendas India Trust - DBS Research 2016-07-25: On the fast track

Ascendas India Trust - DBS Research 2016-07-25: On the fast track ASCENDAS INDIA TRUST CY6U.SI 

Ascendas India Trust - On the fast track

  • 1Q17 DPU of 1.36 Scts in line with expectations.
  • Contribution from the new Victor Building at ITPB and acquisition of BlueRidge Phase 2 yet to be fully realised.
  • a-iTrust to commence construction of new 500,000 sqft building in early 2017 at The V in Hyberabad.



Still a compelling BUY. 

  • We maintain our BUY call on Ascendas India Trust (a-iTrust), with revised TP of S$1.06. 
  • While a-iTrust has rallied over 25% since we upgraded the stock to BUY in late January, we believe it remains an under-appreciated growth story. 
  • With Singapore-focused REITs facing headwinds translating into slowing DPU growth (average DPU CAGR of 2%), a-iTrust stands out with 2-year DPU CAGR of 7% and a still decent 5.8% yield.


Clear growth drivers. 

  • Over the past year, a-iTrust announced several developments including the construction of The V, a new 408k-sqft IT building, as well as the acquisitions of CyberVale, aVance3 and BlueRidge Phase 2. 
  • Coupled with continued growth in the trust’s existing portfolio, we believe these clear growth drivers should provide confidence in AIT delivering a healthy 7% DPU CAGR over the next two years.


Untapped land bank and acquisition pipeline. 

  • Through its untapped land bank and sponsor pipeline, a-iTrust has access to potential c.5.9m sqft of floor area. This provides the trust with a visible and sustainable source of growth over the long term. The ability to execute on these growth opportunities is supported by a healthy balance sheet (current gearing is low at 29%, rising to a 36% with planned developments and acquisitions in the next couple of years).


Valuation:

  • Our DDM based TP is raised to $1.06 from S$1.02 after lowering our Indian risk free rate to 7.6% from 8.25% previously.


Key Risks to Our View:

  • The key risk to our bullish stance is a significant depreciation of the INR and/or downturn in the Indian economy which will depress rents




Mervin Song CFA DBS Vickers | Derek Tan DBS Vickers | http://www.dbsvickers.com/ 2016-07-25
DBS Vickers SGX Stock Analyst Report BUY MAINTAIN BUY 1.06 Up 1.02


Advertisement



MOST TALKED ABOUT STOCKS / REITS OF THE WEEK



loading.......



ANALYSTS SAY


loading.......