Fu Yu Corp - RHB Invest 2019-10-04: Still Top Pick Despite One-off Expenses

FU YU CORPORATION LTD (SGX:F13)

Fu Yu Corp - Still Top Pick Despite One-off Expenses

BUY this small/mid-cap manufacturing Top Pick, Target Price of SGD0.24 implies 9% upside with 8% FY19F yield.
FU YU CORPORATION LTD (SGX:F13) recorded a steady 1H19, as PATMI grew 10.7% y-o-y. Despite a one-off expense of SGD5.5m from the closure of its Shanghai plant, we expect continued revenue and margin expansion on new projects in the auto, consumer and medical spaces.
As over 80% of revenue is in USD, it should also benefit from the strengthening of the greenback.

With the lease termination of its Shanghai site, FU YU CORPORATION LTD (SGX:F13)'s management has decided to liquidate its Shanghai factory and shift production to its loss-making Suzhou site, which has lower operating costs. See Fu Yu's announcements.
We believe this will help reduce the longer-term operational cost for the whole group, and help the Suzhou factory turn profitable at a much faster pace despite having to incur a SGD5.5m one-off expense in FY19F. As such, we remain confident of the group’s outlook and think that this closure will be beneficial to Fu Yu as a group in the longer term.

With a sound balance sheet (net cash of SGD80.1m), positive operating cash flow of SGD15-20m a year and an improving business, we expect Fu Yu to continue rewarding shareholders with higher and more attractive dividends.
Management increased its interim dividends by 16.7% to SGD0.00035 from SGD0.0003, resulting in a FY9F dividend to SGD0.017, representing a yield of 7.7%. We think that the dividends will be sustainable, despite having to incur a one-off expense due to its strong net cash position and cash generation abilities. See Fu Yu's dividend history.

With the ramp-up in its existing projects to continue in the subsequent quarters, coupled with further new projects in the medical and consumer and automotive fronts, we expect such positive growth momentum to continue. In addition, a rising USD should also benefit the company.
Management is still actively seeking ways to further optimise the cost structure of its operations in the region, especially in China – such as further right-sizing exercises and selling/leasing unutilised factory space if suitable opportunities arise, which will further improve margins.
Supported by attractive yields, we maintain BUY with an unchanged DCF-based Target Price of SGD0.24. See Fu Yu share price.
Fu Yu is also an attractive target for privatisation or acquisition.
Key risks to our call: economic slowdown, trade war worsening
RHB is one of two brokers covering this counter. See Fu Yu analyst reports.

Shekhar Jaiswal RHB Securities Research | https://www.rhbinvest.com.sg/ 2019-10-04

SGX Stock Analyst Report BUY MAINTAIN BUY 0.240 SAME 0.240