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Keppel DC REIT - OCBC Investment 2016-07-19: In-line 2Q16 performance

Keppel DC REIT - OCBC Investment 2016-07-19: In-line 2Q16 performance KEPPEL DC REIT AJBU.SI 

Keppel DC REIT: In-line 2Q16 performance

  • 2Q16 DPU grew 3.1% YoY.
  • Occupancy rate of 92.3%.
  • BUY with higher FV.



2Q16 results within our expectations

  • Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT) reported its 2Q16 results which met our expectations. 
  • Gross revenue declined 4.5% YoY to S$24.9m. This was attributed to lower rental income at Keppel DC Dublin 1 (formerly known as Citadel 100 Data Centre) due to a client downsizing its requirements, a fall in variable income at its Singapore properties and depreciation of the AUD and GBP against the SGD. However, property operating expenses declined by a larger magnitude of 32.7% and thus resulted in NPI growing 0.8% YoY to S$22.1m. DPU rose 3.1% to 1.67 S cents. 
  • On a 1H16 basis, KDCREIT’s gross revenue slipped 4.5% to S$49.6m and this constituted 47.2% of our FY16 forecast. 
  • DPU of 3.34 S cents represented growth of 3.4% and accounted for 48.2% of our full-year projection.


Commitment to expand by some clients

  • KDCREIT’s overall portfolio occupancy remained relatively stable at 92.3% (+0.3 ppt QoQ). It managed to sign a forward renewal for one of its major contracts expiring in late 2017 at one of its Singapore Properties for a renewal of more than five years. This strategic tenant has also committed to expand its space by 6,800 sq ft in two phases (50% in 2H16 and 50% in 2H17). 
  • However, in order to secure this renewal and expansion, management had to offer the tenant a more competitive rental. As such, for the first year of the new lease term, net revenue is expected to decline by a low single-digit. This would be mitigated in the second year of the lease term as net revenue is then expected to increase by a low single-digit as compared to the original lease term prior to the renewal. 
  • KDCREIT also renewed an expiring contract at Keppel DC Dublin 1 for a five-year term with an additional take-up of 1,600 sq ft of space.


Maintain BUY

  • We make some minor adjustments to our FY16 forecast as we factor in a lower occupancy rate at Keppel DC Dublin 1. 
  • We also trim our risk-free rate assumption from 3.0% to 2.4% given our expectation of a softer interest rate environment. 
  • Correspondingly, our fair value estimate is lifted from S$1.24 to S$1.27. Maintain BUY.





Wong Teck Ching Andy CFA OCBC Securities | http://www.ocbcresearch.com/ 2016-07-19
OCBC Securities SGX Stock Analyst Report BUY Maintain BUY 1.27 Up 1.24


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