MM2 ASIA LTD
43D.SI
mm2 Asia (MM2 SP) - Proposed listing of UnUsUaL Group
- UnUsUal acquired at 10.2x PE
- Separate listing enables mm2 to crystallize gains and to unlock value
- UnUsUal to tap on public funds for expansion
- Maintain BUY on mm2, TP: S$0.75
What’s new
- mm2 Asia announced that its subsidiary, UnUsUal, has appointed professionals to prepare them for listing on the Catalist board of the SGX-ST.
Our take
UnUsUal acquired at 10.2x PE.
- mm2 acquired a 51% stake in UnUsUaL Group for S$26m back in February 2016.
- UnUsUal Group is one of Asia’s largest promoters and organisers of shows and entertainment acts. The acquisition comes with a net profit guarantee for three years at S$5m per year. This works out to a PE of about 10.2x.
- UnUsUal contributes about 15% to group earnings, based on our forecast of S$17.8m for mm2 in FY17F.
Unlocking value.
- A separate listing for UnUsUal would enable mm2 to crystallize gains and to unlock value, and allow UnUsUal to tap on public funds for expansion.
Assume UnUsUal list at a discount to mm2 valuation.
- mm2 is currently trading at 19.7x FY17F PE and 16.3x based on FY18F earnings. Assuming UnUsUal lists at >10x PE but at discount to mm2’s valuation as mm2’s business is more diversified, mm2 would be able to realize gains on its investment. We tabulate our assumptions below :
- The proceeds from the stake sale of about S$8m to S$14m based on our assumptions, if materializes, would enable mm2 to embark on its growth path to propel to greater heights. Potential gain could range from about S$3m to S$6m if the sale materializes. One of the growth areas is China. The group has already co-produced several productions in China since 2013 and is currently working on a few movies there. Chinese films generally have bigger budgets and better margins than local productions.
- Even if mm2 decides to retain its 51% stake in UnUsUal, the Group would still be able to realize book value gains if UnUsUal is able to list at >10x PE.
- Maintain BUY on mm2, TP: S$0.75.
LING Lee Keng
DBS Vickers
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http://www.dbsvickers.com/
2016-06-10
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