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Keppel DC REIT - Phillip Securities 2016-04-14: Acquisition of T27 is imminent

Keppel DC REIT - Phillip Securities 2016-04-14: Acquisition of T27 is imminent KEPPEL DC REIT AJBU.SI 

Keppel DC REIT - Acquisition of T27 is imminent 

  • S$24.77mn gross revenue missed consensus expectations of S$26.55mn by 6.7%; and missed our expectation of S$26.10mn by 5.1%. 
  • 1.67 cents DPU missed our expectation of 1.76 cents by 5.1%. 


 Negotiations are ongoing to raise occupancy at Citadel 100 

  • Occupancy at Citadel 100 is now 52.8% compared to 77.4% in 4QFY15. 
  • As guided by the Manager during the previous quarter, a tenant downsized in the late part of 1QFY16. The full effect will be felt in 2QFY16, which we estimate to negatively impact portfolio rental income by c.4% and had previously incorporated that into our forecasts. 
  • The Manager is in negotiations with a few prospective tenants who should be able to take up the bulk of the vacant space. 
  • The Manager does not expect the new rent to differ too much from what the existing tenant was paying. 

 Work at mainCubes Data Centre has commenced 

  • The land has been cleared and awaiting issue of the building permit to begin actual construction work. Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT) has paid a 10% deposit for the data centre and will pay the remaining 90% upon project completion (expected 2018). 
  • The Manager has not locked in the currency exchange for that payment as it is still 2-years out. No material changes to the REIT with the transfer of the Manager under Keppel Capital Post-consolidation of Keppel Corp's interests in asset management and private equity under Keppel Capital, Keppel T&T will remain as the Sponsor and continue to support KDCREIT's growth. 

 Acquisition of T27 is imminent; equity fund raising (EFR) highly likely 

  • The Manager shared that T27, a data centre from the Sponsor's Right of First Refusal (ROFR) portfolio, is fully-committed and is in negotiations to acquire it. 
  • The Manager expects the acquisition to be in 2Q or 3QFY16, is exploring the optimum capital structure for the acquisition and does not rule out an EFR. 
  • We note that KDCREIT's gearing is currently 29.6% and we estimate a debt headroom of c.S$113mn, assuming 40% gearing. Bearing in mind the Manager's long-term target of 30% gearing and T27 being in the order of S$250mn, an EFR is highly likely. 

 Maintain "Accumulate" rating with unchanged DDM valuation of S$1.13 

  • 1QFY16 gross revenue and DPU met 23.9% and 25.2% of our full year estimates respectively. 
  • We have adjusted our FY17e and FY18e gross rental income marginally downwards by less than 1% each, as we update the assumptions for currency forwards.



Richard Leow CFTe Phillip Securities | http://www.poems.com.sg/ 2016-04-14
Phillip Securities SGX Stock Analyst Report BUY Maintain BUY 1.13 Same 1.13


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