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Cache Logistics Trust - DBS Research 2016-01-26: Year of Consolidation

Cache Logistics Trust - DBS Research 2016-01-26: Year of Consolidation CACHE LOGISTICS TRUST K2LU.SI 

Cache Logistics Trust - Year of Consolidation 


Maintain BUY, with lower TP of S$0.96 

  • Yield of close to 10%, one of the highest in the S-REITs sector, is attractive in our view. 
  • Despite a hazy operational outlook, we believe that the negatives are priced in and current price level is attractive level to accumulate. 

Australia acquisitions / DHL project to support earnings in 2016-2017. 

  • Cache’s Singapore portfolio is expected to see rental pressure from 
    1. conversions of single-user properties to multi-tenanted properties, and 
    2. heightened competition due to new supply. 
  • As such, growth will mainly be driven from its recent acquisitions such as the six properties in Australia and contribution from DHL development project. 

Limited acquisition capacity as gearing nears 40% 

  • Gearing is estimated to hover around 38% over the coming two years, which is at the higher end of management’s comfortable range of 35-40%. 
  • This means that further debt capacity is likely to be limited and further acquisitions are likely to be funded through a mix of debt and equity. 

Valuation: 

  • Our target price is adjusted to S$0.96 as we account for higher vacancy rates and rental reversion estimates. 
  • Maintain BUY, given attractive yield of close to 10%. 

Key Risks to Our View: 

  • Interest rate risk. Higher interest cost is expected to eat into distributions. 
  • We note that the Manager has locked in close to 67% of its debt into fixed-rates.



Derek Tan DBS Vickers | Mervin Song CFA DBS Vickers | http://www.dbsvickers.com/ 2016-01-26
DBS Vickers SGX Stock Analyst Report BUY Maintain BUY 0.96 Down 1.09


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