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Maybank Kim Eng 2015-08-11: Hyflux - 2Q15 Results boosted by one-off items. Maintain HOLD.

HYFLUX LTD 600.SI

Results boosted by one-off items 

  • Results below expectations due to low construction work. 
  • Expect better 2H15 with new project contribution from Oman and Saudi Arabia. 
  • Big contract wins needed to stimulate share price. Maintain HOLD with lower TP of SGD0.90. 

Weak core profit 

  • Hyflux’s 2Q15 results were below our expectations. 
  • Reported revenue increased by 18% YoY to SGD94.8m and reported bottom line decreased by 58% YoY to SGD26.0m. 
  • But numbers were distorted by one-off items. 2Q15 revenue included a one-off gain of SGD42.5m from the divestment of China water assets while 2Q14 other income included a divestment gain of SGD83.5m from the sale of Hyflux Innovation Centre. 
  • Without those, core revenue would be reduced by 35% YoY and bottom line would be a loss of SGD16.5m compared with a loss of SGD22.1m last year. 
  • Weak performance this quarter was mainly due to lower construction work after Tuaspring plant was substantially completed. 

Maintain HOLD 

  • Tuaspring power plant (411 MW capacity) has been connected to the power grid and testing and commissioning is in progress. It is expected to be operational in early 2016. 
  • Higher contributions from Mideast will kick in with development of new projects in Oman and Saudi Arabia. Thus we expect 2H15 should be better compared with 1H15. 
  • Hyflux will continue to explore potential asset divestment opportunities. 
  • As 1H results came below our estimation and the project in India is being delayed, we lower our EPS forecasts by 5% for the next three years. 
  • Current price is not cheap at 22x FY16E PE. 
  • With current order book of SGD2.9b, we believe big contract wins are needed to stimulate the share price. 
  • Maintain HOLD with TP SGD0.90 (from SGD0.96 previously), still pegged to 25x FY16E PE.


Wei Bin | http://www.maybank-ke.com.sg/ Maybank KE 2015-08-11
HOLD Maintain HOLD 0.90 Down 0.96


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